Saturday, October 24, 2009

Full House Bluff

100 hands down.... looking at my favorite one.

I'm in middle position... with an average stack of chips in comparison to the rest of the table (no clear-cut leader).

I'm dealt As 8h.

UTG raises to .04, which I call. One other player calls, and the blinds call the raise.

*** FLOP *** [Jh Kc Ts]

both blinds and UTG check, so I make a fair wager of .12 (slightly over 1/2 the pot). Player after me re-raises to .50. Quite the overbet. Small blind calls, big blind folds, UTG calls, and I call.

*** TURN *** [Td]

UTG checks, and I make my favorite new bet. .02 into a $2.70 pot.

everyone calls. Strange... why would someone with a strong hand raise to .50 cents... then only call a .02 bet? This tells me that the pair on the board concerns the better.

*** RIVER *** [Th]

UTG checks and I instantly go all in ($4.20). At this point I feel the better has an ace rag... and I can steal this pot with the presumption of an easy full house catch.

All players fold and I collect on the pot.

My presumptions, I believe, we're accurate. I assumed the better to have an ace and did not connect with anything on the board. I also assume that a small pocket pair was in one of the blind's hand, which was scared off with a big bet and a better full house on the board. Had I made a smaller wager I likely would have been called (and obviously lost the pot as, if you remember, I too had ace rag).

Note - this approach works much better when you're playing tight, conservative poker (I know, believe it or not that I was), as compared to the donkey who makes silly bets.

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